Non-Psychic Prediction Of An Outcome: The SY's £2M Review

Unpublished comment posted by Anonymous to Textusa at Feb 16, 2012 4:56:00 PM:

“I think we can see where this is going. Death by abductor allows dogs to be correct but McCanns have already criticized them as rubbish so they will have to back down. Will they say GA may have been correct to a point and drop the case against him without losing too much face? Abductor had a key to lots of apartments and kept an eye on 5a? Review declares she’s probably dead, Fund stops collecting and McCanns told to shut up?”

Dear Anon,

The way you see things are heading towards is the direction that, apparently, the "establishment" wants it to go. But one thing is what they want; another, usually completely different is what they get. In this case, what they're able to get.

Basically the scenario you describe, is muratfan’s version taken seriously in the parts that it can be taken seriously, which, at first is indeed very little. But as you'll see at the end of this post, in fact, nothing of it can really be taken minimally seriously even if one tries really hard to undertake such exercise, and that is pretty cumbersome for the said "establishment".

Let's hope I understood you correctly.

If this is the scenario which the SY wishes to enforce, let’s see look then at what kind of hypothetical baby which the Met supposedly will want to have on its own lap.

The Key. Well, nothing new on the Eastern front, or in any other front in any other direction, for that fact. I would even say that it’s one of the few facts that has been maintained in the various versions of the hoax: the supposed abductor walked in by the front door, with nothing in his hands. Why he jumps the window, with a child (and now some stolen goods?) will remain unexplained.

One thing against this master key thesis, is the lock’s cheapness. It’s been filmed and publicly shown, and the thing is so cheap that there are no master keys, for such kind of cheap locks, just duplicates. This means that usually that the staff responsible for cleaning the apartments with such locks, have with them a duplicate key for EACH one they have to clean, which usually amounts to a whole bunch of them, which they carry with them or on the cleaning cart.

This means that for the “abductor” to have THE duplicate key for that apartment, then he has to have an accomplice inside the OC, be an OC employee himself, or both as the cleaning staff is usually made up of women, whilst the abductor is clearly a man.

One point against the OC. Not seeing them buying this one easily, and taking the blame sitting down.

The death. Or in this case, the dogs. We have dogs that have detected both blood and cadaverine in strange, or at least unlikely, places for them to have been found. Let’s look at each one independently.

The cadaverine. It takes quite a while to develop and to contaminate its surroundings, so the fact that it was found means, in this version, that both Maddie's dead body and the abductor stayed in the apartment for an absurd amount of time. But even if the supposed abductor did stay that ridiculous amount of time in the apartment, there's absolutely no reason for the cadaverine to appear both behind the couch and inside a closet, and much less in the shrubs outside…

But that’s only the cadaverine… but what about the blood? How was the abductor able to kill Maddie, accidently or not, and clean the blood up impeccably, with the lights switched off? This thesis basically states that after walking in through the front door, the supposed abductor kills Maddie, diligently cleans the blood, then chooses to pick up the body and exit through a window right next to the front door leaving no traces of blood except behind the couch…

Really weird character this one. You couldn’t make it up. Really, you just can't make such a character up, and that is the biggest problem that the SY is facing. They are trying very, very hard to make up such a character, but it’s just completely impossible, isn’t it?

But let’s, for argument's sake, just suppose he was able to do all that. Where do then the checking timelines fit into all this? They just don’t, do they? Either there was a checking system in place or there’s blood and cadaverine inside the apartment. You can’t have it both ways, can you?

If, as you say, to have Maddie “die” in the apartment, then it's mandatory that the dogs’ performances be given credibility. Otherwise you have no blood, no cadeverine, and without these you have no body inside the apartment and so you're much back on square one. If you want to enforce the version of Maddie's death in the apartment then the dogs must be right!

This happening, it means much more than the McCanns backing down on their opinion of the dogs. It means that they have to assume they lied about their checking system. The McCanns, the remainder “Ts” and all those who said that they saw people from the T9 group get up during those Tapas dinners to check on the children…

One point against the McCanns and T7. Not seeing them buying this one easily. The OC is not unscathed either.

Lastly. Where does the cadaverine detection in McCanns car stand on all this? If the dogs are correct in smelling it in the apartment, then the same must be said for the car… not good for the McCanns.

If it’s correct they were incorrect in smelling it in the apartment, then, as said, the same must be said for the car… not good for having Maddie dead in the apartment. Basically, the dogs smell good, you can "sell" body in apartment, dogs don't smell good, no deal.

Will the McCanns take what is to be dished out to them sitting down?

Will the OC accept it was an inside job?

Let me tell you that in our opinion the answer to these questions is the same two-letter word, that starts with a “n” and rhymes with… Oh!

 But irrelevant of either the McCanns or the OC accepting what SY has to "offer" them, will SY be able to pull it off without calling in people?

I mean, if the McCanns and friends are, eventually, to be accused of lying about their checking system, won’t they have to be called in to clarify the why they did it? Will they just say, yes, I lied, I’m so sorry I did it?

Also, if the OC is, eventually, to take the blame for leaving the keys unattended and have a criminal amongst its staff, it’s only logical that the employees involved be called again to testify, and discover who the evil doer is, isn’t that so? We do want to find the dastardly criminal, don't we? Question is... will the employees now say what they said then?

Last question for today, will the SY be able to come out unscathed from the pickle they were put in?

I think we all know that answer, and this time the rhyme is with the word “know”.

 If you want to know what we think will be the outcome of the SY’s Review, this is it:

"After a full Review, the Yard has found no reason to alter in any way any of the conclusions that were reached by the Portuguese Authorities on the case of the disappearance of Madeleine Beth McCann. The case is to remain archived pending the presentation of new evidence" Post Scriptum: Our blog is of the opinion, that the seige is closing in fast on the McCanns and T7. There have been many signs to that effect, from public exchange of coded messages between the parties to the couple's absolute silence for quite some time now.

For example, the way with which Carter-Ruck dealt, in Court, with the Tony Bennett issue (it seemed they lacked their usual enthusiasm to pursue TB), is, for us, a sign of abandonment of one part towards the other.

The divorce between the McCanns and the "establishment" began with the Jim Gamble's downfall. Not because he was as important as we thought him to be, but for two reasons: first, the fact that somebody decided that it was time for the man to go was a clear sign of a sudden change of winds, and second, the McCann's stupid reaction to come out at the time out publicly "demanding" even more money. Remember how you were reminded at that particular timeframe that the Fund was, according to the McCanns, almost completely depleted? You didn't think they were addressing this issue to the "every day donor", like yourself, did you?

However, we're almost sure that the Mccanns hold some sort of trump up their sleeve. They must've, otherwise they would have been minced meat by now. We, here, have been able to see only one trump. And it's a big trump indeed. There may be others, but none as strong as this one...

So if the "establishment" is able to go around this particular obstacle, then the McCanns and Friends will be completely open targets, and, if that happens, then we believe that the couple's & friends' near future is to be bleak indeed.

You see, if the McCanns are to be "convinced" (not implying any sort of violence, but simple persuasion), to say that yes, they did lie about the checking system, then all the blood and cadaverine, both in the apartment and in the car, can be "explained", can't it? Well, there's that minor detail of the cadaverine in the shrubs outside, but that, we're sure, can be bent to fit. Here is Gonçalo Amaral indicating how deep into 5A's backyard the cadaverine smell was detected:

  If so, then, we'll have to put up with a whole new farce... until then, enjoy this one.